Future — Scenarios & Vision

Which Antalya
do we choose?

By 2050 Antalya will have grown by an estimated 30%. That growth can happen in three fundamentally different ways. The choice is not inevitable — it depends on decisions being made now, in planning offices and municipal councils. These scenarios are a tool to make that choice visible.

Scenario A — Business as Usual

Continued coastal sprawl, car-dependent development corridors, further conversion of Kaleiçi to short-let accommodation, demolition of unregistered historic buildings in inner neighbourhoods. Tourism revenue grows in aggregate but concentrates in fewer, larger operators. The city's identity erodes faster than its economy grows.

Historic Loss

High

Walkability

Declining

Livability

Stagnant

Scenario B — Managed Growth

Growth steered inland, away from the coastal strip. New density centred on existing transport corridors — the planned metro line and BRT routes — rather than greenfield sprawl. Heritage zones extended to cover Ottoman residential areas outside Kaleiçi. Tourism diversified beyond sun-beach into cultural heritage circuits connecting Perge, Kaleiçi, Aspendos and the Lycian coast.

Historic Loss

Moderate

Walkability

Improving

Livability

Growing

Scenario C — Heritage-Led City

A 2050 Antalya where historic fabric is the core asset, not a tourist backdrop. Comprehensive listing of Ottoman and early Republican buildings. Car-free Kaleiçi and pedestrianised corridors along Roman-period street grids. Restoration rather than demolition incentivised by tax and grant frameworks. Living heritage — residents in historic buildings — not a theme park.

Historic Loss

Minimal

Walkability

High

Livability

Thriving

Our Vision

Hayalimdeki Antalya advocates for elements of Scenario C — not as utopia, but as a practical programme of incremental decisions. Every tescil application, every restored Ottoman house, every car-free street is a step in that direction. The alternative is not neutral: inaction chooses Scenario A by default.

Cities are not accidents. They are the accumulated result of thousands of decisions. Each decision is a vote for the city you want — or the one you are willing to lose.